The 'honest' polling has Commie Law and the Junk Yard Dog© with a 3 to 4 point lead, nationally. But, as we all regret, that doesn't amount to a hill of beans, either. On another forum (not one of mine) the electoral college came up, yet again. Which led me to explore its history again. The most mind boggling is that for the first few elections, the electors were appointed by the state legislatures directly. No voting required.
In spite of Hamilton's assertion that electors were to be chosen by mass election, initially, state legislatures chose the electors in most of the states.Moreover, we find that electoral colleges have been shitcanned in every Western democracy that had one; except here, of course.
By the end of the 20th century, electoral colleges had been abandoned by all other democracies around the world in favor of direct elections for an executive president.Which, more or less, brings us to reading some tea leaves. We know that the Gold Standard Iowa poll has Commie Law and the Junk Yard Dog© ahead of The Orange Shitgibbon©anon., which has sent him into near earth orbit. We know that Dems are out voting Reps in early voting. We know that wimins are out voting male chauvinist pigs in the early voting. We know that Sleepy Joe earned 7,000,000 more votes than The Orange Shitgibbon©anon. in 2020.
The Evangelical Radical Right Wingnuts have, at least since Nixon (but really long before), not run campaigns on political issues, but rather culture wars, which are wholly based on population density, i.e. shitkickers and the Bible vs. city folk and education. Not the Koran or The Vedas or The Tripitaka or any of those other pagan religions count. It's not as if the shitkickers have advanced any part of USofA life over the last 225 years, now have they? Along that line, I'm always amused, although not recently for obvious reasons, by photos of bin Laden directing using a satellite phone. What better way to drag the globe, the Western part anyway, back to 600 AD? Of course the Evangelical Radical Right Wingnuts want us to go back to 1 AD, or even earlier if they can find some text that fits their male chauvinist demands.
In sum then, what's going to happen? We know that Sleepy Joe earned 7,000,000 more votes than The Orange Shitgibbon©anon.. We know that wimins are pissed at The Orange Shitgibbon©anon. for not only killing Roe, but boasting about it. And we know that females are out voting males by a non-trivial margin so far. So, we can surmise that Blue voting is running ahead of what Sleepy Joe earned in 2020. What's it all mean, Mr. Natural? My guess is that Commie Law and the Junk Yard Dog© end up 10,000,000 ahead of The Orange Shitgibbon©anon. when all is said and done. Whether she gets to 270 isn't clear. In 2020, Sleepy Joe's 7,000,000 was made from CA's 5,000,000 and small change elsewhere. What we do know: if The Orange Shitgibbon©anon. does get the Oval Office, he'll do a Russian Gulag with gusto. The Supremes have said he can.