26 January 2022

Cold Covid - part the twentieth, version 3

Well, we get a testable prediction from the CDC
An ensemble forecast from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention published Wednesday predicts that over 62,000 more people could die from Covid-19 over the next four weeks.
Let's keep track from week to week. Here's the count as of 12 January
842,754
Here's the count as of today, 19 January
857,672
Here's the count as of today, 26 January
874,002
So, an increase of 31,248 deaths since 12 January. And, so two weeks of the four yields a speculation of a smidge more than 62,000. Deaths per week are ramping. We'll see if that continues. I'll bet a gonad, given that most of the Red States are still in infection climb. Infection climb precedes hospitalization climb, and that precedes death climb.

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