By The Numbers - part the seventy ninth

A sad day for democracy. All those who voted for The Great Unhinged^© because they want a Strong Man as president will reap Menken's fury. So will the rest of us who wanted no such thing.

Which brings us to an early (likely incomplete), post-mortem: how come? While all the numbers aren't in, it's clear that the Latino vote abandoned the Democrats. And, why would that be? I've long harbored a distrust, in the political sense only, of that bloc. The reason is that most of Latin America has a history, and currency, of autocratic rule are worst, and one party control at best, energized democracy not so much. Thus immigrants from such countries are enured to the likes of The Great Unhinged^©. And they voted that way. Irregardless of the simple fact that political support has always come from the Dems and The Great Unhinged^© blamed them for the ills of the USofA!! "Poisoning the blood" and all that. That's cognitive dissonance that boggles the mind. Whether the Latino bloc has pulled off Jill Stein 2016 is not yet clear, but they put a big dent in Commie Law and the Junk Yard Dog^©'s total. The answer will pop up in the news soon enough. One has to wonder how many of these legal MAGA Latinos will end up being deported? Just like the VA 'illegal' voters who were actually legal. I hope it's millions.

The other conundrum: of the 10 states voting on abortion, 7 passed and 1 'abstained'
Here are the passed:
Missouri - Trump
Nevada - ?
Montana - Trump
Arizona - ?
Colorado - Harris
Maryland - Harris
New York - Harris

Nebraska implicitly defeated 6 week ban by keeping the 12 week ban (for now) and a majority passed the viability amendment, but by less than the 12 week and thus lost; quite a catch, that catch-22.

A good deal of cognitive dissonance on display. Not enough, on this basis alone, to give her the White House.

The Big Question: will all this reactionary shit cause significant brain drain in these antebellum shithole states? One can only hope.

By The Numbers - part the seventy eighth

Well... prediction time. As one might imagine, Commie Law and the Junk Yard Dog^© is my preference, for a host of reasons. But that don't amount to a hill of beans, and all that.

The 'honest' polling has Commie Law and the Junk Yard Dog^© with a 3 to 4 point lead, nationally. But, as we all regret, that doesn't amount to a hill of beans, either. On another forum (not one of mine) the electoral college came up, yet again. Which led me to explore its history again. The most mind boggling is that for the first few elections, the electors were appointed by the state legislatures directly. No voting required.

In spite of Hamilton's assertion that electors were to be chosen by mass election, initially, state legislatures chose the electors in most of the states.

Moreover, we find that electoral colleges have been shitcanned in every Western democracy that had one; except here, of course.

By the end of the 20th century, electoral colleges had been abandoned by all other democracies around the world in favor of direct elections for an executive president.

Which, more or less, brings us to reading some tea leaves. We know that the Gold Standard Iowa poll has Commie Law and the Junk Yard Dog^© ahead of The Orange Shitgibbon^©anon., which has sent him into near earth orbit. We know that Dems are out voting Reps in early voting. We know that wimins are out voting male chauvinist pigs in the early voting. We know that Sleepy Joe earned 7,000,000 more votes than The Orange Shitgibbon^©anon. in 2020.

The Evangelical Radical Right Wingnuts have, at least since Nixon (but really long before), not run campaigns on political issues, but rather culture wars, which are wholly based on population density, i.e. shitkickers and the Bible vs. city folk and education. Not the Koran or The Vedas or The Tripitaka or any of those other pagan religions count. It's not as if the shitkickers have advanced any part of USofA life over the last 225 years, now have they? Along that line, I'm always amused, although not recently for obvious reasons, by photos of bin Laden directing using a satellite phone. What better way to drag the globe, the Western part anyway, back to 600 AD? Of course the Evangelical Radical Right Wingnuts want us to go back to 1 AD, or even earlier if they can find some text that fits their male chauvinist demands.

In sum then, what's going to happen? We know that Sleepy Joe earned 7,000,000 more votes than The Orange Shitgibbon^©anon.. We know that wimins are pissed at The Orange Shitgibbon^©anon. for not only killing Roe, but boasting about it. And we know that females are out voting males by a non-trivial margin so far. So, we can surmise that Blue voting is running ahead of what Sleepy Joe earned in 2020. What's it all mean, Mr. Natural? My guess is that Commie Law and the Junk Yard Dog^© end up 10,000,000 ahead of The Orange Shitgibbon^©anon. when all is said and done. Whether she gets to 270 isn't clear. In 2020, Sleepy Joe's 7,000,000 was made from CA's 5,000,000 and small change elsewhere. What we do know: if The Orange Shitgibbon^©anon. does get the Oval Office, he'll do a Russian Gulag with gusto. The Supremes have said he can.

By The Numbers - part the seventy seventh

Even though my paternal grandmother had a genealogy done way back when (those forbears came here from Jolly Olde England in 1638), I don't follow UK/British news on purpose much. I knew that the Tories had lost in the last election, but I didn't recall the numbers. Well here they are. That's gotta hurt.

The Tories were dumped from government in a July general election, going from 372 to 121 seats in the process, reflecting public anger over their management of the economy, crime, immigration and standards in public life.

And, of course, they go all in for The Orange Shitgibbon^©anon. shit. Their very own Black Nazi? No, she didn't say that, but the report reads like someone who is. May be. Sort of. Will the Olde Sod tell us about us? Just remember: it ain't 1829 anymore.