2024 Post Mortem - part the first

All the data isn't in yet, and won't be for some time. What we need to see is the precinct level data to know whether The Great and Powerful Odd^© has, in fact, flipped a significant number of bricks in the Blue Wall. As of now, the data say no.

Here is an instant analysis from the NYT, and it, so far, supports my instant analysis of last Wednesday: the pussy Dems just stayed home. I suppose that enough of the city slickers figured that there'd be so many city slickers out for The Great and Powerful Odd^©'s neck that their vote wouldn't be needed. They were wrong.

Counties with the biggest Democratic victories in 2020 delivered 1.9 million fewer votes for Ms. Harris than they had for Mr. Biden. The nation's most Republican-heavy counties turned out an additional 1.2 million votes for Mr. Trump this year, according to the analysis of the 47 states where the vote count is largely complete.

You can't win if you don't vote.

Whether or not The Great and Powerful Odd^© has turned the USofA into Trumpistan for good and all is a question that can't be answered right now. There's still counting on the West Coast, and enough votes to make The Great and Powerful Odd^© a minority president, yet again. He sure ain't gonna be a landslide.

To answer the question, one need compare the precinct level votes to, at least, 2020 to understand whether The Great and Powerful Odd^©'s margin in popular vote came from additional voting for him (my guess right now) or from Dems. who decide to go MAGA (not my guess right now). It's difficult to see what a Dem. would find appealing in The Great and Powerful Odd^©? He's gotten only more batshit since 2016 and 2020.